Why do I need probability to play board games?

Every roll of the dice is a small bet. Probability counts how many of the possible rolls give you what you need, out of all equally likely rolls. With two dice, 7 comes up six ways out of 36, more than any other total. Knowing the odds helps you pick safer moves and smarter risks.

exactly 6: 13.9% (about 1 in 7.2)
Chance
13.9%
Winning rolls
5
Possible rolls
36

Challenge: Find a roll you'll make about half the time.

Play

Pick how many dice and what you need to roll. The highlighted bars are your winning totals.

Challenge: Find a roll you'll make about half the time. The box under the picture turns green when you get it.

Stuck? Pick one of the examples from the “Try an example” menu, or press “New example.”

Understand

P=winning rolls6nP = \frac{\text{winning rolls}}{6^n}

Each die has 6 faces, so nn dice have 6n6^n equally likely rolls. The chance of something is

P=winning rolls6nP = \frac{\text{winning rolls}}{6^n}

The bars show how many rolls make each total, as a percent. The highlighted bars are the totals that win for you. Add up their heights and you get your chance. With two or more dice the bars form a hill, because middle totals can be made in more ways than extreme ones.

Use

Every input has a unit menu, so you can type values in the units you already have. Results follow your units.

Show the work

  1. Every roll is equally likely\text{possible rolls} = 6^{2} = 36
  2. Count the winning rolls\text{winning} = 5
  3. ProbabilityP = \frac{5}{36} = 0.1389 = 13.9\%

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Choose the number of dice, your target, and whether you need at least, exactly, or at most that total. The result gives the percent, the count of winning rolls, and "1 in N" odds.

  • These are exact odds for fair six-sided dice. Real dice are very close.
  • Each roll is independent. A long streak doesn't make any total "due."

For learning and estimation. Verify with applicable codes, standards, and a qualified professional before using in design, construction, or safety-critical work.

Cheat card

P=winning rollspossible rollsP = \frac{\text{winning rolls}}{\text{possible rolls}}
possible rolls=6n\text{possible rolls} = 6^n
SymbolMeaningUnit
nnnumber of dice
PPprobability, from 0 (never) to 1 (always)
  • With two dice, 7 is the most common total (1 in 6).
  • 2 and 12 each happen only 1 time in 36.
  • More dice pile the totals toward the middle.

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Where it’s used

  • Computer Science
    Game designers balance games by computing odds. Computers simulate millions of rolls to test rules.
  • Sports & Games
    Board game and tabletop players use odds to decide when to take a risk.

Questions people ask

What is the most likely total with two dice?

Seven. Six of the 36 possible rolls add up to 7 (1+6, 2+5, 3+4, 4+3, 5+2, 6+1), a 1 in 6 chance.

What are the odds of rolling 8 or more with two dice?

15 of the 36 rolls, about 42%.

Why do the middle totals come up more often?

There are more combinations that add up to them. Only one roll makes 2 (1+1), but six rolls make 7.